0x7a3f...e29c
run 0x4e9f...c218·9/9 windows complete
Run #418 / Walk-forward

Walk-forward analysis

Every window re-fits parameters on the in-sample slice and trades them blindly on the next 90 days of unseen data. If out-of-sample Sharpe collapses, the strategy is curve-fit.

Progress complete · 14m 02s
9 of 9 windows IS 180d · OOS 90d · step 90d
Sharpe per window · In-sample vs Out-of-sample
2.84
mean OOS Sharpe
0.88×
OOS / IS ratio
In-sample Out-of-sample OOS target ≥ 1.5
4.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 target W1W2W3 W4W5W6 W7W8W9
W7 OOS Sharpe 1.4 below target — coincides with Aug 23 drawdown event overall pass · 8/9 windows ≥ 1.5

Per-window detail

Each window: 180d in-sample fit + 90d out-of-sample test on unseen data.